Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Monza
Monday, May 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Monday, May 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
53
Last Game: Napoli 0-2 Bologna
Saturday, May 11 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, May 11 at 5pm in Serie A
We say: Fiorentina 2-1 Napoli
While Osimhen has not quite hit the same heights as his 2022-23 Capocannoniere-winning season, his potential absence would be a significant blow to Napoli's chances of ending their barren winless run, and rearguard nous on the road often eludes the visitors. Fiorentina often struggle to bolt the back door shut at home too, but Italiano's well-stocked squad can counteract any backline mishaps at the other end of the pitch to extinguish Napoli's European hopes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fiorentina win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Napoli has a probability of 31.42% and a draw has a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Napoli win is 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.52%).
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
43.98% ( -0.57) | 24.6% ( 0.14) | 31.42% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 57.76% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
