Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Napoli |
29.97% ( 0.17) | 24.85% ( 0.01) | 45.18% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 56.15% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.17% ( 0.03) | 46.84% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.91% ( 0.03) | 69.09% ( -0.03) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.88% ( 0.14) | 29.12% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.95% ( 0.17) | 65.05% ( -0.17) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.22% ( -0.07) | 20.79% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.56% ( -0.11) | 53.44% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.97% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 45.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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