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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Casa Pia

Braga
4 - 3
Casa Pia

Djalo (12'), Ruiz (60', 88'), Zalazar (64')
Oliveira (56'), Djalo (74'), Cardoso (90+2')
Djalo (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Soma (35'), Lelo (51'), Oliveira (72' og.)
Soma (36'), Tchamba (83'), Lameiras (90+2'), Lameiras (90+2')
Chalo (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 3-1 Braga
Saturday, April 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 3-1 Chaves
Saturday, April 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Casa Pia

Braga know that they need to avoid any slip-ups in their final three games of the season as they look to secure a spot in Europe. Given the stakes of Sunday's game, we anticipate Jorge's side will go all out and secure maximum points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 72.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 10.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawCasa Pia
72.78% (-0.578 -0.58) 16.26% (0.301 0.3) 10.95% (0.277 0.28)
Both teams to score 52.6% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.59% (-0.68000000000001 -0.68)35.41% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.55% (-0.759 -0.76)57.45% (0.759 0.76)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.56% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)8.44% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.69% (-0.726 -0.73)29.31% (0.725 0.72)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.46% (0.027000000000001 0.03)42.54% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.1% (0.021999999999998 0.02)78.9% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Braga 72.78%
    Casa Pia 10.96%
    Draw 16.26%
BragaDrawCasa Pia
2-0 @ 10.97% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 9.04% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.179 0.18)
3-1 @ 7.73% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.59% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 4.78% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.76% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-1 @ 2.36% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.042 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.14% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
6-1 @ 0.97% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 72.78%
1-1 @ 7.59% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.59% (0.121 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.26%
1-2 @ 3.24% (0.07 0.07)
0-1 @ 3.07% (0.106 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.31% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 10.96%

How you voted: Braga vs Casa Pia

Braga
96.0%
Draw
0.0%
Casa Pia
4.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 15
Casa Pia
1-3
Braga
Clayton (74' pen.)
Mukendi (90+6')
Moutinho (51'), Banza (77'), Zalazar (88')
Nov 1, 2023 8.15pm
Group Stage
Braga
1-1
Casa Pia
Pizzi (62')
Oliveira (74')
Clayton (76' pen.)
Paes (43'), Roberto (90+1')
Apr 21, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 29
Casa Pia
0-1
Braga
Horta (54')
Dec 3, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Casa Pia
0-1
Braga
Oliveira (22')
Nov 6, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 12
Braga
0-1
Casa Pia
Martins (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica33254476274979
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca33137135347646
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense33107164548-337
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Gil Vicente3399154251-936
12Casa Pia3398163649-1335
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista33710163760-2331
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823


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