Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York City FC |
51.23% ( -0.08) | 24.23% ( 0.02) | 24.54% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 53.76% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.07% ( -0.04) | 47.94% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.89% ( -0.03) | 70.11% ( 0.03) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.29% ( -0.04) | 18.71% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.93% ( -0.07) | 50.08% ( 0.07) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.13% ( 0.03) | 33.87% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.47% ( 0.03) | 70.54% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 51.23% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 24.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 29 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 14 |
13 | Dallas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 14 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |