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Nashville
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
Toronto FC

Nashville
2 - 0
Toronto

Moore (81'), Bunbury (90+1')
Yearwood (36'), Boyd (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Thompson (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-0 Nashville
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-3 NY City
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 3-1 Toronto

It has been an extremely underwhelming campaign for the Boys in Gold thus far, but they seem to execute their tactics a lot better on their home turf, and we expect them to unlock a Toronto defence that still concede plenty of scoring opportunities. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawToronto
61.54% (0.0030000000000001 0) 21.33%17.14%
Both teams to score 51.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.14% (0.0020000000000024 0)44.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.78% (0.002999999999993 0)67.22%
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (0.0019999999999953 0)14.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.36% (0.0020000000000024 0)41.64%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.41%39.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72%76.28% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 61.53%
    Toronto 17.14%
    Draw 21.32%
Nashville SCDrawToronto
1-0 @ 10.92%
2-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 7.01%
3-1 @ 6.49%
4-0 @ 3.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-2 @ 1.48%
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 61.53%
1-1 @ 10.11%
0-0 @ 5.57%
2-2 @ 4.6%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.32%
0-1 @ 5.16%
1-2 @ 4.69%
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 17.14%

How you voted: Nashville vs Toronto

Nashville SC
53.8%
Draw
7.7%
Toronto
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2023 12.30am
Apr 9, 2023 1.30am
Sep 19, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 33
Toronto
2-1
Nashville
Bradley (39')
Lovitz (32')
Aug 2, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls178542923629
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1541101227-1513

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd168532821729
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland185673232021
10Seattle SoundersSeattle174672021-118
11St Louis City163942325-218
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas173592632-614
13Dallas163581825-714
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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