Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Mar 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon2 - 1Connah's Quay
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bala Town 1-1 Caernarfon
Friday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-5 New Saints
Friday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 66.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 15.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 0-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
15.28% ( 0) | 18.5% ( -0.03) | 66.21% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.59% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.63% ( 0.15) | 35.37% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.6% ( 0.16) | 57.39% ( -0.16) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.94% ( 0.1) | 36.05% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.17% ( 0.1) | 72.83% ( -0.1) |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.05% ( 0.05) | 9.94% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.11% ( 0.11) | 32.89% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Caernarfon Town 15.28%
Connah's Quay Nomads 66.21%
Draw 18.5%
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
2-1 @ 4.31% 1-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 15.28% | 1-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.5% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.55% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.35% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 4.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 2% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.96% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.23% Total : 66.21% |
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2024 7.45pm
Oct 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Connah's Quay
6-1
Caernarfon
Franklin (2', 6', 11', 45+2'), Kenny (45+8'), Williams (73')
Kenny (20')
Kenny (20')
Lloyd (79')
Williams (14'), Maher (54'), Lloyd (90')
Williams (14'), Maher (54'), Lloyd (90')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Nov 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Connah's Quay
3-3
Caernarfon
Nash (69'), Malkin (74', 90+4')
O'Rourke (10'), Faux (50'), Marsh-Hughes (65')
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-16 14:01:56
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