MX23RW : Thursday, May 16 22:44:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 25, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
vs.
Danubio

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tachira 0-1 Nacional
Wednesday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Maldonado vs. Nacional
Tuesday, May 21 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-2 Danubio
Wednesday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Next Game: Danubio vs. Racing
Sunday, May 19 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 53.63%. A draw has a probability of 23.4% and a win for Danubio has a probability of 23.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Danubio win it is 0-1 (6.22%).

Result
NacionalDrawDanubio
53.63% (-8.06 -8.06) 23.36% (1.291 1.29) 23.01% (6.773 6.77)
Both teams to score 54.82% (7.137 7.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.31% (3.856 3.86)45.68% (-3.852 -3.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.99% (3.563 3.56)68.01% (-3.56 -3.56)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.03% (-1.416 -1.42)16.97% (1.421 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.93% (-2.577 -2.58)47.07% (2.581 2.58)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.03% (9.563 9.56)33.97% (-9.559 -9.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.35% (9.089 9.09)70.65% (-9.085 -9.08)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 53.63%
    Danubio 23.01%
    Draw 23.36%
NacionalDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 10.22% (-2.37 -2.37)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.07% (-2.651 -2.65)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-0 @ 5.36% (-1.911 -1.91)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.61 0.61)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.248 -0.25)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-1.006 -1.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.216 0.22)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 53.63%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.57 0.57)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-1.004 -1)
2-2 @ 5.29% (1.23 1.23)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.427 0.43)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.36%
0-1 @ 6.22% (0.595 0.6)
1-2 @ 5.96% (1.602 1.6)
0-2 @ 3.36% (1.019 1.02)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.937 0.94)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.778 0.78)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.56 0.56)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 23.01%

Head to Head
Nov 16, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 10
Nacional
1-3
Danubio
Martinez (39')
Martinez (37'), Bocanegra (44'), Baez (83'), Polenta (88')
Baez (87')
Romero (7'), Fernandez (64')
Etchebarne (13'), Lewis (71'), Ferreira (79'), Millan (90')
Apr 9, 2023 7.30pm
Oct 23, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 15
Nacional
2-0
Danubio
Fagundez (5'), Suarez (45')
Jun 25, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 3
Danubio
0-1
Nacional

Rea (24'), Vicente (90')
Luis Rodriguez (80')
Marichal (24'), Castro (57'), Laborda (73'), Carballo (90+4')
Jun 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 15
Danubio
2-1
Nacional
German Haller Piloni (6'), Rodriguez (72' pen.)
Fossati (13'), Rea (38'), Vicente (49'), Ferreira (76'), Rodriguez (84'), Navarro (90+3')
German Haller Piloni (12'), Rodriguez (84')
Fagundez (61')
Candido (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1210202561932
2NacionalNacional1274125151025
3ProgresoProgreso127322420424
4Defensor SportingDefensor1264225141122
5Boston RiverBoston River126331613321
6Cerro Largo125341412218
7LiverpoolLiverpool123631918115
8Racing de MontevideoRacing124351717015
9Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado124261315-214
10River PlateRiver Plate123451517-213
11DanubioDanubio123451216-413
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers123361217-512
13CerroCerro122551321-811
14Rampla JuniorsRampla122371024-149
15Miramar Misiones121561523-88
16FenixFenix12147916-77


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