Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Lecce |
43.88% ( -0.83) | 27.9% ( 0.03) | 28.22% ( 0.8) |
Both teams to score 45.92% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.43% ( 0.25) | 59.57% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.09% ( 0.19) | 79.91% ( -0.19) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.02% ( -0.31) | 26.98% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.67% ( -0.41) | 62.33% ( 0.42) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.89% ( 0.79) | 37.11% ( -0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.1% ( 0.78) | 73.9% ( -0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.9% Total : 43.88% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.78% Total : 28.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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