Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 87.72%. A draw has a probability of 8.1% and a win for Chaves has a probability of 4.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 3-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 4-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (3.48%), while for a Chaves win it is 1-2 (1.35%).
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Chaves |
87.72% ( 0.27) | 8.07% ( -0.16) | 4.21% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 52.53% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
81.37% ( 0.38) | 18.63% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
63.88% ( 0.55) | 36.12% ( -0.55) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.3% ( 0.09) | 2.7% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
87.56% ( 0.31) | 12.43% ( -0.31) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.98% ( -0.02) | 46.01% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.27% ( -0.02) | 81.73% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Chaves |
3-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.08) 6-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 7-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) 6-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 5.57% Total : 87.72% | 1-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.91% Total : 8.07% | 1-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.9% Total : 4.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |