Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 36.38%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Gil Vicente |
36.32% ( 0.28) | 27.29% ( -0.04) | 36.38% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 49.99% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.47% ( 0.16) | 55.53% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.29% ( 0.13) | 76.71% ( -0.13) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.68% ( 0.25) | 29.31% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.71% ( 0.31) | 65.29% ( -0.3) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.72% ( -0.06) | 29.28% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.76% ( -0.08) | 65.24% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.32% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |