Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portland Timbers | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
44.6% ( 0.69) | 25% ( 0.1) | 30.4% ( -0.79) |
Both teams to score 55.88% ( -0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.71% ( -0.78) | 47.29% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.48% ( -0.73) | 69.52% ( 0.73) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.76% ( -0.02) | 21.24% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.86% ( -0.02) | 54.14% ( 0.02) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.94% ( -0.92) | 29.06% ( 0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.03% ( -1.15) | 64.97% ( 1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Portland Timbers | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
1-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.6% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 28 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
6 | Toronto | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Orlando City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
9 | St Louis City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 10 |