Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Strasbourg |
33.8% ( 0.25) | 26.09% ( -0.04) | 40.1% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 53.56% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.12% ( 0.19) | 50.88% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.24% ( 0.17) | 72.76% ( -0.17) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.39% ( 0.25) | 28.6% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.59% ( 0.31) | 64.4% ( -0.31) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.02% ( -0.03) | 24.98% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.37% ( -0.04) | 59.63% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.8% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |