Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lens |
36.23% ( 0.56) | 25.06% ( -0.11) | 38.7% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 57.5% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.03% ( 0.53) | 45.97% ( -0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.72% ( 0.5) | 68.28% ( -0.51) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.17% ( 0.56) | 24.83% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.58% ( 0.78) | 59.42% ( -0.79) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.49% ( -0) | 23.51% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.46% ( 0) | 57.54% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lens |
2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.84% Total : 36.23% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |