Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Lyon |
30.5% ( 0.04) | 27.28% ( -0.01) | 42.22% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.8% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.53% ( 0.04) | 56.46% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.53% ( 0.04) | 77.47% ( -0.04) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.32% ( 0.05) | 33.68% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.66% ( 0.06) | 70.33% ( -0.06) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.58% | 26.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.42% ( 0) | 61.58% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.5% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 42.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |