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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Carlisle United |
40.82% ( -0.41) | 26.72% ( -0.17) | 32.46% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 51.22% ( 0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.28% ( 0.84) | 53.72% ( -0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.8% ( 0.7) | 75.2% ( -0.71) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.11% ( 0.17) | 25.89% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.12% ( 0.23) | 60.88% ( -0.23) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.11% ( 0.83) | 30.89% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.82% ( 0.96) | 67.18% ( -0.96) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.81% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
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