Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.13%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%).
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Melbourne City |
42.14% ( 0.62) | 22.31% ( 0.05) | 35.54% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 67.73% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.37% ( -0.4) | 32.62% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.71% ( -0.46) | 54.29% ( 0.46) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.72% ( 0.08) | 16.27% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.18% ( 0.14) | 45.82% ( -0.14) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.89% ( -0.5) | 19.1% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.27% ( -0.82) | 50.72% ( 0.82) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.67% Total : 42.14% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.31% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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