Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 63.14%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Sassuolo |
63.14% ( 4.57) | 21.02% ( -1.53) | 15.84% ( -3.04) |
Both teams to score 50.07% ( -1.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.11% ( 1.51) | 45.89% ( -1.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.8% ( 1.42) | 68.2% ( -1.42) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.11% ( 1.97) | 13.89% ( -1.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.68% ( 3.75) | 41.32% ( -3.75) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.15% ( -2.78) | 41.85% ( 2.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.7% ( -2.51) | 78.3% ( 2.51) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Sassuolo |
1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.82) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.45% ( 1) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.43) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.71) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.41) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.36) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.24) Other @ 2.71% Total : 63.13% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.72) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.34) Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.02% | 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.76) 1-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.68) 0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.53) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.21) Other @ 1.7% Total : 15.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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