Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Sassuolo |
43.54% ( -0.26) | 25.37% ( 0.08) | 31.08% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 54.99% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.39% ( -0.29) | 48.61% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.27% ( -0.27) | 70.72% ( 0.27) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.72% ( -0.25) | 22.27% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.27% ( -0.37) | 55.72% ( 0.37) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.74% ( -0.03) | 29.25% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.79% ( -0.04) | 65.21% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Sassuolo |
1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.54% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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