Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 69.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 10.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.16%) and 3-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Sampdoria |
69.78% | 19.47% | 10.75% |
Both teams to score 40.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.54% | 50.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.61% | 72.38% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.67% | 13.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.82% | 40.18% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.28% | 52.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.53% | 86.47% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Sampdoria |
2-0 @ 14.27% 1-0 @ 14.16% 3-0 @ 9.59% 2-1 @ 9.13% 3-1 @ 6.14% 4-0 @ 4.83% 4-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 1.96% 5-0 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.42% Total : 69.78% | 1-1 @ 9.06% 0-0 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 2.92% Other @ 0.46% Total : 19.47% | 0-1 @ 4.5% 1-2 @ 2.9% 0-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.91% Total : 10.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |