Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a West Ham United win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | West Ham United |
49.59% ( 0) | 25.26% ( -0.02) | 25.15% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.18% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.37% ( 0.08) | 51.62% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.59% ( 0.07) | 73.41% ( -0.07) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.16% ( 0.03) | 20.83% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.49% ( 0.05) | 53.51% ( -0.06) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.65% ( 0.05) | 35.34% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.89% ( 0.06) | 72.1% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | West Ham United |
1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 49.58% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 25.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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