Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | West Ham United |
44.93% ( 0.09) | 23.48% ( 0.01) | 31.59% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 61.85% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.27% ( -0.07) | 39.73% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.91% ( -0.07) | 62.08% ( 0.08) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.98% ( 0.01) | 18.02% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.1% ( 0.02) | 48.9% ( -0.02) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.44% ( -0.09) | 24.56% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.96% ( -0.13) | 59.04% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | West Ham United |
2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 3.75% Total : 44.93% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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