Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 65.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 15.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
65.6% ( 0) | 18.43% ( -0) | 15.97% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.67% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.5% ( 0.04) | 33.5% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.71% ( 0.04) | 55.3% ( -0.03) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.43% ( 0.01) | 9.57% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.97% ( 0.02) | 32.03% ( -0.02) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.99% ( 0.03) | 34.01% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.31% ( 0.03) | 70.69% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.43% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 4.08% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.08% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.93% 5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 4.62% Total : 65.6% | 1-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.43% | 1-2 @ 4.44% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 15.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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