Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Wealdstone |
50.23% ( 0.28) | 22.18% ( -0.06) | 27.59% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 63.85% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.05% ( 0.14) | 35.95% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.96% ( 0.15) | 58.04% ( -0.15) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.36% ( 0.15) | 14.64% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.23% ( 0.28) | 42.77% ( -0.28) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.8% ( -0.07) | 25.2% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.06% ( -0.1) | 59.94% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Wealdstone |
2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 50.23% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.18% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 27.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
> National League Full Table |