Major League Soccer

May 26, 2024 at 3.30am UK

BC Place Stadium

Vancouver
1 - 2
Inter Miami

Gauld (72' pen.)
Ahmed (34'), Schopf (73'), Redondo (90'), Picault (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Taylor (38'), Campana (55')
Alba (20'), Martino (21'), Bright (48'), Weigandt (51'), Aviles (60'), Picault (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Vancouver
Sunday, May 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Inter Miami

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-0 DC United
Sunday, May 19 at 1.05am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Inter Miami

In light of Thursday's news that Messi, Suarez and Busquets will not be available our prediction has changed dramatically for this match. Those three have been the catalysts for Miami throughout the campaign, and the Herons do not look nearly as dynamic or potent without them, which will be a break for a struggling Whitecaps team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 52.73%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Inter Miami
52.73% ( -0.1)	22.48% ( 0.04)	24.79% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 59.96% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.15% (

-0.12)

39.85% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.79% (

-0.13)

62.21% (

0.12)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.8% (

-0.08)

15.19% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.17% (

-0.14)

43.82% (

0.14)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.71% (

-0.02)

29.29% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.74% (

-0.03)

65.26% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 52.73%

Inter Miami 24.79%

Draw 22.47%

Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.89% Total : 52.73%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.47%	1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 24.79%