Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 56.13%. A win for DC United had a probability of 22.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | DC United |
56.13% ( -6.7) | 21.52% ( 2.38) | 22.34% ( 4.31) |
Both teams to score 60.27% ( -1.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.93% ( -5.05) | 38.06% ( 5.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.66% ( -5.59) | 60.33% ( 5.58) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.5% ( -3.4) | 13.49% ( 3.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.48% ( -7.26) | 40.51% ( 7.25) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.67% ( 1.11) | 30.32% ( -1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.49% ( 1.31) | 66.5% ( -1.32) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | DC United |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.91) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.84) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.9) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.37) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.95) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.91) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.49) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.63) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.58) Other @ 3.63% Total : 56.13% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 1.35) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.92) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.52% | 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.96) 0-1 @ 4.88% ( 1.21) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.79) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.44) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.34) Other @ 2.91% Total : 22.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 26 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
11 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 12 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |