Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Villarreal has a probability of 37.02% and a draw has a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Villarreal win is 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.14%).
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Real Madrid |
37.02% ( -0.42) | 24.22% ( -0.1) | 38.76% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 60.62% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.04% ( 0.48) | 41.96% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.63% ( 0.48) | 64.37% ( -0.48) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.42% ( -0) | 22.58% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.82% ( -0) | 56.19% ( 0) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.3% ( 0.47) | 21.7% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.15% ( 0.71) | 54.85% ( -0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Real Madrid |
2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.02% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |