Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
39.03% ( -1.81) | 29.24% ( 0.78) | 31.73% ( 1.03) |
Both teams to score 43.76% ( -1.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.04% ( -2.35) | 62.96% ( 2.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.56% ( -1.74) | 82.44% ( 1.74) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.63% ( -2.24) | 31.37% ( 2.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.26% ( -2.67) | 67.74% ( 2.68) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.76% ( -0.5) | 36.24% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.97% ( -0.51) | 73.03% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 13.18% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3% ( -0.35) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.98% Total : 39.03% | 1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.95) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.22% | 0-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.82) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.94% Total : 31.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |