Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Villarreal |
35.25% ( 0.51) | 24.89% ( 0.11) | 39.87% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 57.98% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.71% ( -0.43) | 45.29% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.37% ( -0.41) | 67.63% ( 0.4) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% ( 0.09) | 25.07% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% ( 0.13) | 59.75% ( -0.13) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.38% ( -0.5) | 22.62% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.76% ( -0.74) | 56.23% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Villarreal |
2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.25% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.89% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |