Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Granada | Draw | Girona |
42.16% ( 0.35) | 27.9% ( 0.6) | 29.94% ( -0.95) |
Both teams to score 46.79% ( -2.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.1% ( -2.47) | 58.9% ( 2.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.61% ( -1.96) | 79.39% ( 1.96) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.41% ( -0.97) | 27.58% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.89% ( -1.26) | 63.11% ( 1.27) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.61% ( -2.01) | 35.39% ( 2.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.85% ( -2.15) | 72.15% ( 2.15) |
Score Analysis |
Granada | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.81) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 42.16% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.88) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.32) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.07% Total : 29.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
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