Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Granada | Draw | Almeria |
47.27% ( 0.06) | 24.07% ( -0.18) | 28.65% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 57.94% ( 0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.9% ( 0.88) | 44.1% ( -0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.52% ( 0.85) | 66.48% ( -0.85) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.2% ( 0.37) | 18.8% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.78% ( 0.61) | 50.22% ( -0.61) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.35% ( 0.54) | 28.65% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.54% ( 0.66) | 64.46% ( -0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Granada | Draw | Almeria |
2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.33% Total : 47.27% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
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