Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Betis | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
28.08% ( 0.05) | 26.43% ( 0.09) | 45.49% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 50.01% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.7% ( -0.31) | 54.3% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.31% ( -0.26) | 75.69% ( 0.26) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.63% ( -0.12) | 34.37% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.92% ( -0.13) | 71.08% ( 0.13) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.2% ( -0.2) | 23.8% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.04% ( -0.29) | 57.96% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Real Betis | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 28.08% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 45.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |