Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 66.25%. A draw has a probability of 19.3% and a win for Osasuna has a probability of 14.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Osasuna win it is 0-1 (4.19%).
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
66.25% ( -0.23) | 19.26% ( -0.19) | 14.5% ( 0.42) |
Both teams to score 52.74% ( 1.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.31% ( 1.81) | 40.69% ( -1.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.93% ( 1.83) | 63.07% ( -1.83) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.57% ( 0.47) | 11.43% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.78% ( 1) | 36.23% ( -0.99) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.55% ( 1.73) | 40.45% ( -1.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.94% ( 1.53) | 77.07% ( -1.53) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
2-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.5) 1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.65) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.21) 5-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.91% Total : 66.24% | 1-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.26% | 0-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.73% Total : 14.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |