Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Sevilla |
40.85% ( 1.09) | 27.85% ( 0.56) | 31.3% ( -1.65) |
Both teams to score 47.43% ( -2.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.66% ( -2.48) | 58.34% ( 2.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.04% ( -1.98) | 78.96% ( 1.98) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.96% ( -0.57) | 28.04% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.3% ( -0.73) | 63.7% ( 0.73) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.91% ( -2.44) | 34.09% ( 2.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.22% ( -2.71) | 70.77% ( 2.71) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.92) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.47) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.79% Total : 40.84% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.86) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.33) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.33) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |