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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Southampton |
43.98% ( -0.27) | 23.77% ( 0.02) | 32.24% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 61.07% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.12% ( 0.01) | 40.87% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.74% ( 0.01) | 63.26% ( -0.01) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.13% ( -0.11) | 18.86% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.66% ( -0.18) | 50.33% ( 0.19) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.28% ( 0.16) | 24.72% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.73% ( 0.21) | 59.26% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 43.98% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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