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Women's European Championship | Group Stage
Jul 14, 2022 at 5pm UK
Academy Stadium

Italy Women
1 - 1
Iceland Women

FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's European Championship clash between Italy Women and Iceland Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: France Women 5-1 Italy Women
Sunday, July 10 at 8pm in Women's European Championship
Last Six:
Last Game: Belgium Women 1-1 Iceland Women
Sunday, July 10 at 5pm in Women's European Championship

We said: Italy Women 2-1 Iceland Women

In the last six editions of the European Championships, Italy have won at least one match at each tournament, and we think that they pick themselves up from the defeat to France to edge out Iceland on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Women win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Iceland Women had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Iceland Women win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Italy WomenDrawIceland Women
42.08% (-0.073 -0.07) 23.78% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 34.13% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 61.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.7% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)40.3% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.32% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)62.68% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Italy Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)19.45% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.71% (-0.07 -0.07)51.29% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Iceland Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02)23.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.66% (0.033000000000001 0.03)57.33% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Italy Women 42.08%
    Iceland Women 34.13%
    Draw 23.78%
Italy WomenDrawIceland Women
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 42.08%
1-1 @ 10.81%
2-2 @ 6.44%
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 7.86% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.61% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.8% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.81% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 34.13%

How you voted: Italy Women vs Iceland Women

Italy Women
62.1%
Draw
17.2%
Iceland Women
20.7%
58
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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