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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Jun 18, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
3 - 0
River Plate

Gigliotti (26'), Zabala (57'), Lozano (80')
Candido (66'), Rodriguez (71'), Coelho (84')
Candido (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Napoli (8'), Brunelli (30'), Pereira (63'), Ichazo (64')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

Last Six:
Last Game: Defensor 0-1 Nacional
Monday, June 13 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

River Plate

Last Six:
Last Game: River Plate 3-0 Cerrito
Friday, June 10 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 16.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
60.36% (0.167 0.17) 23.37% (-0.146 -0.15) 16.27% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 44.06% (0.34399999999999 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.53% (0.493 0.49)54.47% (-0.494 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.17% (0.408 0.41)75.83% (-0.41000000000001 -0.41)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.26% (0.23999999999999 0.24)17.74% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.58% (0.414 0.41)48.41% (-0.417 -0.42)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.56% (0.261 0.26)46.44% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.94% (0.2 0.2)82.06% (-0.203 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 60.35%
    River Plate 16.27%
    Draw 23.36%
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 14.24% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 12.31% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.1% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.07% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.039 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 60.35%
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.24% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 23.36%
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-2 @ 4.19% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.93% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 16.27%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 10pm
Nacional
1-1
River Plate
Ocampo (90')
Candido (75'), Rochet (81'), Fagundez (82'), Rodriguez (86'), Otormin (90+4')
Candido (81')

Alfonso (9'), Montiel (42'), Salaberry (45+2'), Pereira (49'), Diaz (51')
Salaberry (67')
Dec 4, 2021 8pm
Nacional
4-2
River Plate
Almeida (26'), Brunelli (53' og., 61' og.), Fernandez (62')
Fernandez (23')
Borbas (1'), Montiel (90')
Bonifazi (45'), Boggio (59')
Aug 21, 2021 7pm
River Plate
2-0
Nacional
Arezo (45+1'), Boggio (51')
Diaz (17'), Montiel (34'), Napoli (73')

Mendez (24'), Rodriguez (34'), Trasante (40'), Bergessio (41'), Martinez (46')
Bergessio (90+2')
Feb 8, 2021 12.45am
Nacional
3-0
River Plate
Rodriguez (17' og.), Bergessio (34'), Neves (56')
Bergessio (54'), Orihuela (76')

Montiel (38'), Bonifazi (78'), Viera (90')
Nov 12, 2020 5.45pm
River Plate
0-2
Nacional

Fossati (17'), Ospitaleche (18'), Leites (38')
Vicente (40')
Bergessio (52'), Rodriguez (90+2')
Martinez (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor11002023
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers11002023
3Racing de MontevideoRacing11002113
4ProgresoProgreso00000000
5River PlateRiver Plate00000000
6FenixFenix100112-10
7Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado100102-20
8PenarolPenarol100102-20
Group 2
1Miramar Misiones11001013
2Cerro Largo00000000
3CerroCerro00000000
4NacionalNacional00000000
5Boston RiverBoston River00000000
6Rampla JuniorsRampla00000000
7DanubioDanubio00000000
8LiverpoolLiverpool100101-10
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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