MX23RW : Tuesday, June 11 21:18:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Sep 15, 2022 at 12am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Boston River logo

Nacional
1 - 0
Boston River

Candido (49')
Suarez (21'), Carballo (37'), Rodriguez (62'), Coelho (73')
Fagundez (21')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Perez (21'), Fernandez (75'), Corbo (80')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Boston River.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plaza Colonia 1-3 Nacional
Saturday, September 10 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 1-0 Albion
Saturday, September 10 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 15.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.54%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.21%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
NacionalDrawBoston River
59.68% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 25.29% (-0.134 -0.13) 15.03% (0.136 0.14)
Both teams to score 37.02% (0.537 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.41% (0.571 0.57)62.59% (-0.569 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.83% (0.414 0.41)82.17% (-0.413 -0.41)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87% (0.23399999999999 0.23)21.13% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02% (0.362 0.36)53.98% (-0.361 -0.36)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.94% (0.543 0.54)53.06% (-0.54199999999999 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.31% (0.342 0.34)86.69% (-0.34 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 59.67%
    Boston River 15.03%
    Draw 25.29%
NacionalDrawBoston River
1-0 @ 17.42% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 13.54% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 7.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.41% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 59.67%
0-0 @ 11.21% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.72% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 3.5% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.25% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 15.03%

Head to Head
Jul 24, 2022 10pm
Nacional
2-0
Boston River
Gigliotti (57'), Fagundez (66')
Fagundez (68')

Rodriguez (45+1'), Mancebo (86'), Rodriguez (90+1')
Apr 10, 2022 10.30pm
Boston River
0-6
Nacional

Adrian Valdez (7'), Alberti (16'), Rodriguez (35'), Villa (82')
Ithurralde (18')
Carballo (3', 19', 79'), Trezza (45+1'), Zabala (63'), Fagundez (84')
Castro (14'), Rodriguez (31'), Marichal (38'), Carballo (56'), Fagundez (88')
Oct 16, 2021 10pm
Nacional
3-2
Boston River
Trezza (20'), Ramirez (66'), Fernandez (90+2')
Marichal (13'), Polenta (22'), Mendez (58'), Rodriguez (64'), Bergessio (90+8')
Rodriguez (30'), Alvarez (74')
Adrian Valdez (39'), Falcon (90+8')
Adrian Valdez (90+4')
Jun 19, 2021 7pm
Boston River
1-1
Nacional
Rodriguez (68')
Rodriguez (79'), Moreira (90+5')
Bergessio (50')
Trezza (33'), Mendez (62'), Almeida (70'), Fernandez (72')
Mar 25, 2021 12.15am
Nacional
1-2
Boston River
Carballo (71')
Orihuela (59'), Lores (66'), Bergessio (85'), Laborda (89')
Freitas (24'), Larrosa (47')
Romero (69'), Freitas (72'), Falcon (81'), Arias (90+3')
Silva Torrejon (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Montevideo WanderersWanderers11002023
2Defensor SportingDefensor11002023
3Racing de MontevideoRacing11002113
4ProgresoProgreso11001013
5FenixFenix100112-10
6River PlateRiver Plate100101-10
7Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado100102-20
8PenarolPenarol100102-20
Group 2
1CerroCerro11003033
2Miramar Misiones11001013
3DanubioDanubio10102201
4Cerro Largo10102201
5Boston RiverBoston River10101101
6Rampla JuniorsRampla10101101
7LiverpoolLiverpool100101-10
8NacionalNacional100103-30
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!