Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Apr 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
0 - 3
Lazio

Gyasi (30'), Ampadu (33')
Ampadu (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Immobile (36' pen.), Anderson (52'), Antonio (89')
Lazzari (46'), Cataldi (71'), Antonio (81'), Romagnoli (83'), Cancellieri (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Spezia
Saturday, April 8 at 1.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Juventus
Saturday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio have comfortably swept aside Spezia in recent meetings, but a tighter affair could be in store on Friday considering the hosts' improvements over the last two weeks. Nevertheless, Lazio should have too much strength in the final third and will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top at the Stadio Alberto Picco. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Lazio
22.2% ( 0.01)	24.71% ( 0)	53.09% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.62% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.91% (

-0.01)

52.09% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.19% (

-0.01)

73.81% (

0.01)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.7%

38.3% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.94%

75.06%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.42% (

-0.01)

19.58% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.49% (

-0.01)

51.51% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Spezia 22.2%

Lazio 53.08%

Draw 24.7%

Spezia	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.63% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.45% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.8% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.54% Total : 22.2%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.7%	0-1 @ 12.22% 0-2 @ 9.97% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.5% 0-4 @ 2.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 53.08%