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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta logo

Roma
1 - 0
Atalanta

Abraham (32')
Cristante (9'), Abraham (20'), Mkhitaryan (66'), Kumbulla (69'), Ibanez (85')
Mkhitaryan (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Malinovskyi (78'), Demiral (86'), de Roon (90+4')
de Roon (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:
Last Game: Torino 0-2 Roma
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Next Game: Roma vs. Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Atalanta BC

Last Six:
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Atalanta
Sunday, May 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Next Game: Atalanta vs. Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-1 Atalanta BC

 Both sides' strengths and frailties are well known to each other, but Atalanta's attacking might has largely been replaced by a more disciplined defensive approach of late - particularly in high-profile clashes with Inter, Lazio and Juventus. Each of those games produced either goalless or low-scoring draws, and another could be in the offing against Roma this week, as their hosts are always vulnerable versus Calcio's top sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Roma had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
32.86%23.71%43.43%
Both teams to score 61.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.65%40.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.27%62.73%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89%24.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.6%58.41%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11%18.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.63%50.37%
Score Analysis
    Roma 32.86%
    Atalanta BC 43.43%
    Draw 23.71%
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 7.68%
1-0 @ 6.48%
2-0 @ 4.61%
3-1 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 32.86%
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 6.4%
0-0 @ 4.55%
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 9%
0-1 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 6.32%
1-3 @ 5%
2-3 @ 3.56%
0-3 @ 3.51%
1-4 @ 2.08%
2-4 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 43.43%

How you voted: Roma vs Atalanta

Roma
46.6%
Draw
28.8%
Atalanta BC
24.6%
118
Head to Head
Dec 18, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
1-4
Roma
Cristante (45+1' og.)
de Roon (8')
Abraham (1', 82'), Zaniolo (27'), Smalling (72')
Zaniolo (9'), Ibanez (50'), Mancini (74')
Apr 22, 2021 5.30pm
Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Cristante (75')
Calafiori (31'), Villar (47'), Ibanez (90+3')
Ibanez (90+4')
Malinovskyi (26')
Gosens (52')
Gosens (69')
Dec 20, 2020 5pm
Atalanta
4-1
Roma
Zapata (59'), Gosens (70'), Muriel (72'), Ilicic (85')
Malinovskiy (37'), Romero (39')
Dzeko (3')
Pellegrini (36'), Mirante (57'), Mancini (64')
Feb 15, 2020 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-1
Roma
Luis Palomino (50'), Pasalic (59')
Gosens (55')
Dzeko (45')
Mancini (11'), Mkhitaryan (27'), Fazio (88'), Perez (90'), Lopez (90')
Sep 25, 2019 6pm
Roma
0-2
Atalanta

Zaniolo (40'), Jesus (89')
Zapata (71'), De Roon (90')
Kjaer (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917
> Serie A Full Table


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