Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 22.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Juventus |
52.56% ( 1.18) | 25.44% ( -0.11) | 22.01% ( -1.07) |
Both teams to score 47.29% ( -0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.97% ( -0.56) | 55.03% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.7% ( -0.46) | 76.3% ( 0.47) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.03% ( 0.27) | 20.96% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.28% ( 0.42) | 53.72% ( -0.41) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.84% ( -1.36) | 40.16% ( 1.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.2% ( -1.26) | 76.8% ( 1.27) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.55% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.32% Total : 22.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |