Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 77.87%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.46%) and 1-0 (11.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Genoa |
77.87% | 14.8% | 7.33% |
Both teams to score 41.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.13% | 40.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.73% | 63.26% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.39% | 8.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.27% | 29.72% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.84% | 54.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.63% | 87.37% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Genoa |
2-0 @ 14.02% 3-0 @ 11.46% 1-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 7.03% 4-0 @ 7.03% 4-1 @ 4.31% 5-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.16% 5-1 @ 2.12% 6-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.53% Total : 77.86% | 1-1 @ 7.01% 0-0 @ 4.66% 2-2 @ 2.64% Other @ 0.48% Total : 14.8% | 0-1 @ 2.86% 1-2 @ 2.15% Other @ 2.32% Total : 7.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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