Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
53.69% ( 0.18) | 23.55% ( -0.06) | 22.76% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.23% ( 0.13) | 46.78% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.97% ( 0.12) | 69.04% ( -0.12) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.65% ( 0.12) | 17.35% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.27% ( 0.2) | 47.74% ( -0.2) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.2% ( -0.04) | 34.8% ( 0.04) |