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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
4 - 2
Abha

Benzema (38' pen., 67', 69'), Coronado (54')
Kadesh (65'), Al-Sahafi (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Toko Ekambi (51'), Al-Jumayah (85')
Natiq (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Abha, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Abha 3-2 Al Okhdood
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 2-1 Abha

While a run of five wins in their last five games against Abha should give a floundering Al-Ittihad side the needed confidence boost heading into the weekend, they should expect a fight from the visitors, who have hit their stride after a slow start to the season. However, the Tigers boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we fancy them to come out on top once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 78.33%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Abha had a probability of 7.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.9%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for an Abha win it was 0-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAbha
78.33% (-0.50999999999999 -0.51) 14.06% (0.26 0.26) 7.61% (0.248 0.25)
Both teams to score 46.23% (0.3 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.95% (-0.311 -0.31)36.04% (0.309 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.85% (-0.343 -0.34)58.15% (0.341 0.34)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.6% (-0.175 -0.17)7.4% (0.1731 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.32% (-0.45700000000001 -0.46)26.67% (0.454 0.45)
Abha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.93% (0.416 0.42)50.07% (-0.42 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.29% (0.286 0.29)84.71% (-0.28999999999999 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 78.33%
    Abha 7.61%
    Draw 14.06%
Al IttihadDrawAbha
2-0 @ 12.56% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 10.9% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 7.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 7.09% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-1 @ 4.91% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 3.69% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.033 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.56% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.6% (-0.064 -0.06)
6-1 @ 1.11% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 78.33%
1-1 @ 6.68% (0.122 0.12)
0-0 @ 3.71% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.01% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 14.06%
0-1 @ 2.56% (0.069 0.07)
1-2 @ 2.31% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 7.61%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Abha

Al Ittihad
90.5%
Draw
9.5%
Abha
0.0%
21
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CAl-HilalAl-Hilal343130101237896
2Al-Nassr342644100425882
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli34198767353265
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun341611751351659
5Al Ittihad34166126354954
6Al Ettifaq341212104334948
7Al Fateh34129135755245
8Al ShababAl Shabab34128144542344
9Al Fayha341111124452-844
10Damac341011134445-141
11Al RaedAl Raed34910154149-837
12Al Khaleej34910153647-1137
13Al WahdaAl Wahda34106184560-1536
14Al Riyadh34811153357-2435
15Al Okhdood3496193352-1933
RAbha3495203887-4932
RAl Tai3487193464-3031
RAl Hazem34412183476-4224


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