Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Braga had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
47.51% (![]() | 24.94% (![]() | 27.55% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.25% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.42% (![]() | 48.58% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.29% (![]() | 70.7% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.51% (![]() | 20.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.03% (![]() | 52.97% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.23% (![]() | 31.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.8% (![]() | 68.2% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 10.31% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.38% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 47.5% | 1-1 @ 11.83% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.51% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.38% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 7.46% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.78% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.28% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.64% ( ![]() Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |