Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 19, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Braga
0 - 0
Porto

Niakate (82'), Djalo (88'), Gomez (90+3')

Wendell (33'), Otavio (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vizela 0-4 Braga
Saturday, March 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 0-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

With Porto's defence not as watertight as it once was, a free-scoring Braga outfit should feel confident of chalking up a couple of goals, especially with the wise old head of Pepe potentially not being available. However, Conceicao's side could have easily racked up a few themselves against Inter on another day and can also exploit the hosts' inexperienced centre-back pairing, so Sunday's podium battle should live up to the billing in a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Braga had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Porto
30.73% ( 1.11)	27.09% ( 0.82)	42.17% ( -1.94)

Both teams to score 49.44% (

-1.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.31% (

-2.77)

55.69% (

2.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.16% (

-2.31)

76.84% (

2.31)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.89% (

-0.63)

33.11% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.29% (

-0.7)

69.7% (

0.7)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.91% (

-2.22)

26.08% (

2.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.86% (

-3.08)

61.14% (

3.08)

Score Analysis

Braga 30.73%

Porto 42.17%

Draw 27.08%

Braga	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.83) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.73%	1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.88) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.08%	0-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.41) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.23) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.17%