MX23RW : Monday, June 10 11:03:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 31
May 4, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
3 - 2
Jagiellonia

Shkurin (35'), Matras (48'), Gerstenstein (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nene (12'), Pululu (75')
Skrzypczak (63'), Nguiamba (74')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stal Mielec 1-3 Legia
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 2-2 Szczecin
Friday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Stal MielecDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
27.07% (-0.299 -0.3) 23.44% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 49.48% (0.352 0.35)
Both teams to score 58.85% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.67% (0.011999999999993 0.01)42.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.26% (0.011000000000003 0.01)64.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (-0.21199999999999 -0.21)28.87% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (-0.265 -0.27)64.74% (0.265 0.27)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (0.13800000000001 0.14)17.25% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.43% (0.24 0.24)47.57% (-0.24 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Stal Mielec 27.07%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 49.48%
    Draw 23.44%
Stal MielecDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 6.75% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.19% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.84% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 27.07%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 9.55% (0.025 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.75% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.69% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 5.6% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.5% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.48% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.46% (0.028 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.98% (0.035 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.53% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 49.48%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Jagiellonia
4-0
Stal Mielec
Normann Hansen (19'), Wdowik (23' pen., 83'), Matras (79' og.)
Marczuk (50')

Santos (58'), Esselink (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CJagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia34189777453263
2Slask Wroclaw34189750311963
3Legia WarsawLegia341611751391259
4Pogon SzczecinSzczecin341671159382155
5Lech Poznan34141194741653
6Gornik ZabrzeGornik34158114541453
7Rakow CzestochowaRakow3414101054391552
8Zaglebie Lubin34138134350-747
9Widzew Lodz34137144546-146
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice3491693835343
11Stal Mielec341110134248-643
12Puszcza Niepolomice34913123949-1040
13KS CracoviaCracovia34815114546-139
14Korona Kielce34814124044-438
15Radomiak Radom34108164158-1738
RWarta Poznan34910153343-1037
RRuch Chorzow34614144055-1532
RLKS Lodz3466223475-4124


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