Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Rochdale |
63.66% ( -0.07) | 20.25% ( 0.01) | 16.1% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 53.25% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.04% ( 0.05) | 41.96% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.64% ( 0.05) | 64.36% ( -0.05) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.48% ( -0) | 12.52% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.47% ( -0.01) | 38.53% ( 0.01) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.87% ( 0.1) | 39.13% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.15% ( 0.09) | 75.84% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Rochdale |
2-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.87% 4-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.44% Total : 63.64% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.25% | 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 16.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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