Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
49.44% ( 0.13) | 24.67% ( -0.02) | 25.89% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 53.7% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.35% ( -0.02) | 48.65% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.24% ( -0.02) | 70.76% ( 0.02) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.29% ( 0.05) | 19.71% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.28% ( 0.07) | 51.72% ( -0.07) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.88% ( -0.1) | 33.12% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.28% ( -0.11) | 69.72% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 49.44% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 25.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
> National League Full Table |