National League | Gameweek 27

Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot
1 - 1
Chesterfield

Hutchinson (21')
Mnoga (40'), Partington (41'), Roberts (43')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McCallum (46')
Grimes (40'), Mandeville (41')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aldershot 2-0 Dorking
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Chesterfield

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Chesterfield 1-2 Notts County
Saturday, February 11 at 5.20pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Aldershot Town	Draw	Chesterfield
32.7% ( 1.49)	25.46% ( 0.4)	41.85% ( -1.89)

Both teams to score 55.37% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.6% (

-1.23)

48.4% (

1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.46% (

-1.14)

70.54% (

1.13)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.91% (

0.36)

28.09% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.24% (

0.45)

63.76% (

-0.45)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77% (

-1.42)

23% (

1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.2% (

-2.14)

56.8% (

2.14)

Score Analysis

Aldershot Town 32.7%

Chesterfield 41.85%

Draw 25.45%

Aldershot Town	Draw	Chesterfield
1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.7%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.13% Total : 41.85%