Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
61.75% ( -0.01) | 21% ( -0.01) | 17.25% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.21% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.75% ( 0.06) | 43.25% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.35% ( 0.06) | 65.65% ( -0.06) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.52% ( 0.02) | 13.48% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.51% ( 0.03) | 40.48% ( -0.03) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.5% ( 0.06) | 38.5% ( -0.06) |